1. David Friedman remembers his former colleagues.
2. John Arnold, in debt.
3. South Africa vs. Nigeria.
4. Chinese local government car financing.
5. “A comparison between estimates of election risk (based on option prices) and actual post-election volatility of stock market returns, shows that hedging election risk becomes more expensive over time. Finally, an examination of the 2016 presidential election suggests that options markets may provide more reliable estimates of election uncertainty than election forecasts based on public opinion and/or prediction markets.” Link here.
6. Voters don’t seem to hate the idea of a nuclear attack.
7. Scott Sumner’s humor in visiting AI circles in SF.
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