Why Do Prediction Markets Differ in Pricing Elections?
The RealClearPolitics poll, today, has Harris-Trump 52.3 to 46.3. Source: RCP, accessed 9/22/2024, ~3pm CT. PredictIt, the only platform that works in the US, is […]
Month: September 2024
True, false, or uncertain?
Most of the strategic developments in the sport have been aimed at increasing diversity and life and results (for better EV): Baseball: more extra hits, […]
Bull Steepening since the FOMC Meeting
Here is an additional change as of 6/3/2024: Figure 1: The change from 1 June 2024 in the 10-year to two-year term spread (bold black), […]
My Weekly Reading for September 22, 2024
by Eric Pichet, La Revue de Droit FiscalVol. 14, p. 5, April 2007 Abstract: Despite efforts to ‘liberate’ the Impôt de Solidarité sur la Fortune […]
54 years….
Check out #4 on this list: For Nabeel, source here. And this year India won gold in the men’s and women’s chess Olympiad, and is […]
Hearing aids on AirPods – Econlib
Often, when we see that something is not working properly (that is, in terms of consumer demand and the opportunity cost of production), we find […]
Links 9/22/2024 | bare capitalism
Gatwick train canceled after squirrels boarded and ‘refused to go’ Sky News The plane made an emergency landing after a live rat got out of […]
7 Bad Money Habits That Are Killing Your Money (And How To Get It Back)
[00:03:12] Ramit: How long have you been together? [00:03:15] Carrie: About eight years. [00:03:16] Ramit: Eight years. That’s right. Carrie, when you met Taylor, did […]
Sometimes people are wrong
The irony was that, despite the M1 growing by more than 5 percent in 1970 and 10 percent during the first half of 1971, the […]
“Newly released data from the Commerce Department shows what some people have been saying for months: The nation is collapsing.”
That’s EJ Antoni/Heritage Foundation, writing in September 2022. A note of caution in declaring a recession. In addition, the data selection of the Biden administration […]