Nowcasts – Updated | Econbrowser
GDPNow Q3 growth has now reached 2.5%, up from 2.1%. Figure 1: GDP (bold black), Survey of Professional Forecasts Average forecast for August (tan), GDPNow […]
Month: September 2024
Why Indian firms are unequal
When we review the literature on the impact of labor regulation, we find that India’s corporate standards laws penalize businesses in two ways. First, regulations […]
If You Are *Really* Concerned About Collecting Government Debts…
Consider this graph (based on Penn Wharton Budget Model scores, from The Economist): Note: Regarding tariffs, the trade war (retaliation, uncertainty, reduction in aggregate demand) […]
Thrift shopping for a bargain? Avoid These 10 Brands
oneinchpunch / Shutterstock.com For most retailers, profit margins are slim. Between getting the product, taking pictures, writing descriptions, purchasing shipping materials and paying the listing […]
Choi, Dang, Kirpalani, Perez “On sovereign debt and the sustainability of US public debt”
From the abstract of the paper: We study the extent to which the perceived cost of losing the large privilege the US has in global […]
AI prediction markets – The Marginal REVOLUTION
Answer from Dan Hendrycks: We created an AI demo that can predict the future at a superhuman level (along with teams of human forecasters working […]
Announcing Our 2024 “Double Your Donations” Challenge!
A new donor has stepped up to kick this fundraiser into high gear. So if you haven’t taken the time to donate, please take advantage […]
Kalshi wins – Marginal REVOLUTION
From the announcement, slightly edited by me: Kalshi defeated the CFTC, legalizing the stock markets in the US for the first time in 100 years. […]
Protecting against the Business Email Crisis (BEC): The Complete Guide
Business Email Compromise (BEC) attacks have emerged as one of the most sophisticated and financially damaging forms of cybercrime. The latest FBI Internet Crime Report […]
Links 9/9/2024 | bare capitalism
This is Naked Capitalism fundraising week. 446 donors have invested in our efforts to fight corruption and misconduct, especially in the financial sector. Please join […]