My guess about private NFP:
Figure 1: Confidential NFP (bold black), nowcast (blue), +/- 1 std error band (grey), Bloomberg consensus (red +). Source: BLS, Bloomberg, author’s statistics.
Nowcast is +176K, vs +125K Bloomberg consensus.
The nowcast is based on this drop:
For comparison, GS provides much larger data now for the total NFP stream (GS adds 20K to ADP to arrive at total NFP).
Goldman Sachs estimate of total NFP is +165K. One can take a 20K discount to get a private NFP (Bloomberg consensus has a 23K difference).
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