What should I ask Stephen Kotkin?
Kotkin’s most prominent book project is his three-volume biography of Joseph Stalin: The first two volumes were published as Stalin: The Paradoxes of Power, 1878-1928 […]
Month: October 2024
Over 80% of phishing sites now target mobile devices
“Phishing using HTTPS is not entirely new,” said Krishna Vishnubhotla, vice president of product strategy at Zimperium. “Last year’s report revealed that, between 2021 and […]
Sharing News Left and Right
Yves here. This piece is interesting. It finds, using Twitter as the basis of its investigation, that “conservatives” are more persistent in sharing news to […]
Ask for a preview of ChatGPT o1, the financial theory of the price level type
Question: An economist once said that the monetary theory of the price level was true, or even truer, as governments approached default. But otherwise it […]
Nowcasting Private NFP uses ADP Data
My guess about private NFP: Figure 1: Confidential NFP (bold black), nowcast (blue), +/- 1 std error band (grey), Bloomberg consensus (red +). Source: BLS, […]
What is the Anglosphere? – Econlib
I recently came across some excellent articles discussing productivity issues in English-speaking countries. Paper with Ben Southwood, Samuel Hughes and Sam Bowman it begins by […]
Thursday various links
1. How does low fertility affect economic growth? Podcast with Alice Evans and Jesús Fernández-Villaverde. 2. Kalshi’s victory in court (bravo!). 3. Do oncologists understand […]
Non-Farm Private Employment Measures Compared
ADP is surprisingly high (143K vs 124K consensus): I’m not sure what this means, but ADP exceeds the official series, which itself is above the […]
Make OT networks a priority, say nine national security agencies
The first problem is that OT is a distinct class of networks that in some cases have evolved over decades. There is no standard OT […]
Interview with Richard Eskow: ‘Putin, Ukraine and War’
Yves here. As you can see in Tom Neuburger’s excerpt below, his conversation with Richard Eskow went beyond the Ukraine conflict. I didn’t get across […]