Inflation Breakevens, Term Spreads Ahead of FOMC
As of yesterday COB: Figure 1: Ten-year breakeven (blue), five-year breakeven (red), in %. Source: Treasury via FRED. Figure 2: 10yr-2yr Treasury term spread (blue […]
Month: November 2024
My Personal Forecasting Machine – Econlib
Alex Tabarrok has a great piece on Marginal Revolution this morning explaining why he has confidence in the prediction markets. It is very difficult to […]
Thursday various links
1. The returns to Naloxone. 2. A resort in the Philippines has the world’s largest chicken-shaped structure. 3. World’s most powerful man and bird breeder […]
Rapid injection defenses against LLM Cyberattacks
Rapid injection defenses against LLM Cyberattacks Interesting study: “AI-Hacker: Rapid Injection as a Defense Against Cyberattacks by LLM”: Large-scale language models (LLMs) are increasingly being […]
‘Package confusion’ is an attack against NPM used to trick developers into downloading malware
In other words, no single address, IP, or server can be blocked. That said, there are downsides to the process not mentioned by Checkmarx, including […]
View the break – Econlib
Lars Svensson has argued that monetary policymakers should “target the forecast”, meaning that they should set their policy in an area that is expected to […]
How a Trump Presidency Could Change the Global Economy
Yves here. I feel like I’m overdue to comment on Trump’s win, but there is a tsunami of commentary about it and I wish I […]
Winning prediction markets
Prediction markets predicted the outcome of the election more accurately and faster than polls or other forecasting methods, just as expected from decades of research. […]
Converting LLM Codes – Schneier in Security
Converts LLM codes Really interesting research: “LLM-Assisted Easy-to-Trigger Backdoor Attacks on Code Completion Models: Hidden Vulnerability Injection vs. Hard Detection“: Abstract: Large Language Models (LLMs) […]
Interpol nimmt 22.000 IP-Adressen vom Netz
Interpol In einer konzenziertente Polizeiaktion hat Interpol zusammen mit mehreren privatwirtschaftliche Partnern und Strafverfolgungsbehörden or 95 Interpol-Mitgliedsländern der Cybercrime-Szene mal wieder einen großtzen Schlag. Wie […]