
Who Best Predicted 2021-24 Inflation?
Consumers, CEOs, or economists? Figure 1: Year-over-year CPI inflation (bold black line), corresponding to 1-year inflation expectations from the NY Fed consumer survey (green line), […]
Consumers, CEOs, or economists? Figure 1: Year-over-year CPI inflation (bold black line), corresponding to 1-year inflation expectations from the NY Fed consumer survey (green line), […]
The list this week is very short. It shows a little bit of learning. In particular, it shows little thought about what I’m reading because […]
Interest rates are important, but not as much as most people think. To see why, it may help to start with an analogy. Why is […]
1. Tiger vs. Little Bear (NYT). 2. Is giving AI legal freedom one way to deal with alignment issues? 3. More on aphasia. 4. Jane […]
A jar full of gold coins buried by a soldier 2400 years ago found interesting Engineering. “As we board the Fennario…” Mercury may have an […]
Recently I have been writing that the federal government should not move forward in negotiating or lowering drug prices. Shopping is expanding and the benefits […]
Game theory can help explain how proportional voting changes the behavior of candidates, and the elites who support them. Consider a high-profile election with five […]
The most recent recession compared to 2008 and 2001. In the 2001 and 2008 recessions, the limit of the Sahm Rule (real time) is passed […]
This is religious music, taken from various religions around the world, including Sikhs of course. Here are Rick Rubin’s playlists for other people, including Carlos […]
1. Links from Sam Enright. 2. If you put animals in money. 3. How Nicholas Carlini uses AI. 4. Jon Hartley podcast with Acemoglu. 5. […]
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