Articles by admin

economic downturns, stock market downturns, and housing market downturns. As of December 19 (The Newport Beach Independent): Recession: The US is likely to enter a […]

I’m happy with how this turned out, here’s one episode: I think we are overestimating the dangers of American democracy. The intellectual class is very […]

Inflation in April and May was over-predicted by consumer-based surveys ahead of the year. Figure 1: Year-over-year CPI inflation (black), average expected from the Survey […]

Talking about the dollar as a reserve currency next week [2]and I noticed these interesting ways. Figure 1: Share of FX profit in CNY (red […]

In his book Little Report, HL Mencken writes: “The desire to save mankind is almost always the false face of the desire to rule it.” […]

In yesterday’s post, I noted a recession forecast based on a probit equation that includes the debt service ratio yielded a much lower probability in […]

1. OpenAI library (NYT). 2. Switzerland is the reality of the day. Trains. 3. Are female psychologists more critical than male psychologists? 4. New meta-study […]

Inca jars that make various animal soundspic.twitter.com/bec79W6GeU – Science Girl (@gunsnrosesgirl3) May 15, 2024 A lost branch of the Nile flowed past the towers of […]

If there is no recession coming, what can we conclude, since most of the word spread models were showing “sure bets”? An impossible outcome (possible […]